Frances Tiafoe vs Sebastian Korda Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Tiafoe has won 44.14% of points on his second serve in recent months, while Korda has performed slightly better with 49.82%.
• Looking at return game stats, Tiafoe has secured 44.52% on opponents' second serves, narrowly edging out Korda's 43.93%.
• For first serve returns, Tiafoe and Korda show closely matched abilities with 24.79% and 24.4% respectively.
• Tiafoe excels under pressure, saving 59.54% of breakpoints, compared to Korda’s 51.15%.
• Over the past year, Korda has a higher match win percentage of 62.79%, compared to Tiafoe's 58.06%.
• Tiafoe's career best is on Clay with a 62% win rate, whereas Korda's strongest surface is Grass at 64%.
• Both players have shown strength on the Main tour, with Korda having a more impressive win rate of 75% over Tiafoe’s 51.85% recently.
• Head-to-head, Tiafoe and Korda are evenly matched, each winning three matches out of six.
• In longer matches, Tiafoe has a better record, winning two out of three deciding sets against Korda.
• Tiafoe has competed against tougher average-ranked opponents (64.77) compared to Korda's opponents (76.07).
• If the match enters a deciding set, Korda has a stronger performance with 64% wins, overshadowing Tiafoe's 46%.
• Tiafoe slightly outperforms Korda in converting breakpoint opportunities, with a conversion rate of 32% against Korda’s 28.85%.

Editorial Prediction (May 30, 2025, UTC):

Both players have demonstrated strong capabilities and competitive spirit in their head-to-head matches, sharing victories and stretching contests to deciding sets. Korda has shown a slight edge in terms of recent second serve performance and tour-level victories, which are key indicators for this matchup.

Tiafoe, however, is better at handling high-pressure situations, evidenced by his superior ability to save breakpoints and his better results in head-to-head deciding sets. His recent performance in games involving higher-ranked opponents also suggests resilience under challenging conditions.

Given these factors, while both Korda and Tiafoe bring their own sets of advantages, Korda’s second serve and recent win rates on the Main tour slightly tilt the balance in his favor. Therefore, Korda is predicted to be the more likely winner of the upcoming match.